TLDR Iran SITREP

Qatar confirmed indirect US-Iran talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz are ongoing, with no direct negotiations planned. A cargo ship was struck by a projectile near the strait, and its crew abandoned the vessel with one person missing. Israel and Lebanon began a seventh round of US-brokered talks in Rome, focusing on pilot zones and cessation of hostilities. The Houthis claimed a drone strike on Saudi Arabia’s Najran airport. In Gaza, a mass funeral was held for 112 Palestinians recovered from rubble two years after an Israeli airstrike.

Iran prepares for Ayatollah Khamenei’s funeral with up to 20 million mourners expected and dignitaries from 100 countries attending, while Tehran warns the US and Israel against any attacks. A bomb blast at a Damascus cafe killed at least five and wounded 16. In Lebanon, Hezbollah and Amal ministers reiterated their rejection of direct talks with Israel, and the IDF killed a Hezbollah operative at the Ali al-Taher ridge. Syrian Foreign Minister al-Shaibani visited Beirut, expressing openness to meeting Hezbollah.

The US and Iran digitally signed the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, formally ending hostilities and opening the Strait of Hormuz, while an IDF reservist was killed and seven others wounded by a Hezbollah explosive device in southern Lebanon. President Trump, at the G7, sharply criticized Israel, suggesting it was in no position to oppose the deal and questioning its reliance on US support. The IDF continued operations in Lebanon and the West Bank, and Hezbollah’s leader hailed the MoU as a victory.

US forces struck Iranian coastal radar sites after shooting down four Iranian drones launched toward the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated by firing seven ballistic missiles at US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, with CENTCOM intercepting six. In Lebanon, an Israeli airstrike killed several Lebanese Army troops, including an officer, while Hezbollah claimed 32 attacks on Israeli forces. In the West Bank, the IDF killed a seven-month-old Palestinian baby in Hebron, prompting an investigation.

Prime Minister Netanyahu acknowledged that Israel has expanded its hold on Gaza to 60%, beyond the ceasefire line, while the IDF struck Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon and a drone attack sparked a fire at the UAE’s Barakah nuclear plant. The security cabinet convened amid reports of US-Israeli preparations for renewed strikes on Iran, and the ICC denied reports it had issued new arrest warrants for Israeli officials.

Iran launched a second day of missile and drone attacks on the UAE on Tuesday, striking a Fujairah oil facility and wounding three, while the US and Israel are reportedly coordinating potential new strikes on Iranian energy sites and senior officials. The US-led Project Freedom escort operation transited two destroyers through the Strait of Hormuz under fire, and Defense Secretary Hegseth said the ceasefire is “not over” despite Iran’s attacks. Hezbollah escalated with drone and missile attacks on IDF positions in southern Lebanon, and the IDF eliminated a Nukhba commander who participated in the October 7 Nova festival massacre.

Hezbollah launched multiple rocket and drone attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon on May 2, with no IDF casualties reported, while the IDF struck over 70 military structures and 50 Hezbollah infrastructure sites in the past day. The US announced the withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany amid a diplomatic rift over the Iran war, and Spain demanded the release of a citizen detained during an Israeli raid on a Gaza-bound aid flotilla. A senior Iranian official warned that conflict with the US is 'likely' to restart after President Trump rejected Tehran's latest proposal.