US Strikes Iran for Second Night, Tehran Closes Hormuz and Retaliates Across Gulf (Jun 11, 0638 UTC, 0938 Israel) (Morning Edition)
- Issued
- 09:38IL06:38UTC02:38EST
- Window
- 21:36IL18:36UTC14:36EST (-12H)
Homefront — Limited Activation
Home Front Command issued precautionary directives for communities in the confrontation line after Lebanon rocket launches.
BLUF
The United States launched a second consecutive night of airstrikes on Iranian air defense, surveillance, and communication targets, while Iran announced the full closure of the Strait of Hormuz and retaliated with missile and drone strikes on US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain. President Trump threatened further attacks if Iran does not agree to a deal, as the IDF reported a suspicious aerial target near Misgav Am and strikes in Lebanon's Beqaa Valley.
Top Lines
- US conducts second night of strikes on Iran, targeting military surveillance and air defense systems; Trump threatens to 'bomb the s*** out of them' if no deal is reached.
- Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters announces full closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping, and IRGC strikes 18 US targets in Kuwait and Bahrain.
- IDF establishes first permanent military outpost in Palestinian-controlled Area A of the West Bank since the Oslo Accords, as cabinet set to approve de facto establishment of 61 new settlements.
- 1IranIran
- 2LebanonLebanon / Hezbollah
- 3GazaGaza
- 4West BankWest Bank
Situational Report
The US-Iran confrontation escalated sharply overnight as American forces struck multiple targets inside Iran for the second night, drawing Iranian retaliation against US bases in the Gulf and the declared closure of the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump signaled further strikes unless Iran accepts a proposed agreement, while the IDF reported ongoing operations in southern Lebanon and a historic new permanent outpost in the West Bank.
Iran
Iran
Second Night of US Strikes
The United States launched a new wave of airstrikes on Iran during the night of June 10–11, the second consecutive night of attacks. US Central Command (CENTCOM) said the strikes targeted Iranian military surveillance capabilities, communication systems, and air defense sites using precision-guided munitions from Marine Corps, Air Force, and Navy assets Quds News NetworkJerusalem Post. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed the strikes, framing them as part of negotiations for a permanent ceasefire, and warned that "those strikes that will happen tonight will be strong and clear, and if they have to happen tomorrow night they will be strong and clear" Al JazeeraJerusalem Post. Explosions were reported in Karaj, Garmsar, Bandar Abbas, and near Kish Island Quds News NetworkWar MonitorsIsrael Hayom.
Trump's Threats
President Donald Trump told Fox News that if Iran does not sign an agreement soon, "we'll bomb the s*** out of them tomorrow night." He also claimed that Iranian officials contacted him asking for the bombing to stop, a claim denied by Iranian state television citing a senior Iranian official Iran InternationalBint Jbeil NewsBehold Israel. Trump emphasized that Israel was not involved in the attacks War Monitors.
Iranian Retaliation and Strait of Hormuz Closure
In response, Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters announced the complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping, including oil tankers and commercial vessels, citing insecurity caused by US strikes. The statement warned that any vessel movement through the strait would be targeted Mehr NewsAl-Manar TVBehold Israel. The IRGC Aerospace Force and Navy launched two waves of strikes targeting 18 key US military sites, including Ali Al Salem Air Base, Ahmad Al Jaber Air Base in Kuwait, and Sheikh Isa Air Base in Bahrain, claiming all were successfully hit and destroyed IRNAAl-Manar TVMiddle East Eye. Sirens sounded in Kuwait and Bahrain, and Kuwait Airways temporarily suspended all flights Bint Jbeil NewsNews 0404 IL. Jordanian airspace saw Iranian missiles overhead Bint Jbeil News. CENTCOM stated that commercial ships were continuing to transit the Strait of Hormuz despite the Iranian announcement Behold Israel.
IAEA Resolution
The IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution demanding Iran report its uranium stocks and grant inspectors access to facilities. Iran's envoy denounced the resolution, claiming access to sites unaffected by war had been granted Times of Israel.
Lebanon / Northern Front
Lebanon / Hezbollah
Lebanon / Northern Front
Lebanon / Hezbollah
Suspicious Aerial Target
Sirens sounded in Misgav Am in northern Israel due to a suspicious aerial target that did not cross into Israeli territory. The IDF confirmed the incident concluded with no injuries IDF Official.
Rocket Fire
Two rockets were launched from Lebanon, landing near an area where IDF forces were operating in southern Lebanon. The Home Front Command issued a precautionary directive for communities in the confrontation line IDF OfficialNews 0404 ILBint Jbeil News.
IDF Operations
Over the past week, IDF soldiers of the 91st Division eliminated more than 35 Hezbollah terrorists operating near IDF troops in southern Lebanon. On June 10, soldiers dismantled an anti-tank missile launcher concealed in bushes, killing a terrorist in the area. IDF troops also raided a weapons storage facility, seizing Kalashnikov rifles, RPGs, and rockets IDF OfficialN12 Chat.
Israeli Strike in Beqaa
Lebanese media reported an Israeli drone strike on the outskirts of Taraiyya in the eastern Beqaa Valley, approximately 90 kilometers from the Israeli border ManniefabianBint Jbeil News.
Saudi Resumption of Lebanese Imports
Saudi Arabia ordered the resumption of goods imports from Lebanon after a halt of more than five years, citing support for the new Lebanese government's steps to strengthen sovereignty and curb Hezbollah and Iranian activity N12 Chat.
Gaza
Gaza
Hamas Holding Fire
Hamas has largely vanished from the battlefield as it focuses on controlling Gazans and licking its war wounds, but experts warn the quiet may not last Times of Israel.
IDF Targeting of Hamas Middle Managers
The IDF has been targeting lower-level Hamas officials leading rearmament efforts, reporting 15 strikes and ceasefire violations between May 29 and June 10 Long War Journal.
West Bank
West Bank
Permanent IDF Outpost
The IDF established its first permanent military outpost in Palestinian-controlled Area A of the West Bank since the Oslo Accords, according to Haaretz. The outpost is located in an area under full Palestinian Authority control Haaretz.
Settlement Expansion
The Israeli cabinet is set to approve a plan to fund the de facto establishment of 61 new settlements in the West Bank, championed by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. The proposal includes funding for temporary communities while planning stages are ongoing Times of IsraelAxios.
Settler Violence
Palestinians accused Israeli settlers of impeding firefighters near the Christian town of Taybeh after a suspected arson attack. Settlers allegedly shot firearms and blocked a water tanker Times of Israel. In a separate incident, an armed settler told Palestinians and activists, "Jews are allowed, Arabs have to get out," while backed by IDF troops, seeking to prevent Palestinians from working their land Times of Israel.
Sanctions on Settler Networks
The UK and five other countries imposed new sanctions on networks accused of financing and enabling settler attacks against Palestinians. Amnesty International UK welcomed the move but said it did not go far enough, calling for sanctions on senior Israeli officials Quds News Network.
Rescue of Jewish Woman
Israeli security forces rescued a Jewish woman who entered the Qalqilya market to shop Israel Hayom.
Multilateral Institutions
Multilateral & Diplomatic
Multilateral Institutions
Multilateral & Diplomatic
Vance on Netanyahu and Iran Deal
US Vice President JD Vance said Prime Minister Netanyahu has "certainly gotten some things wrong" but is a "good partner." Vance emphasized the Trump administration wants a nuclear deal with Iran, even if Israel is opposed, and said an agreement could take days to months Times of Israel.
PA Prisoner Payments Audit
An external audit found the Palestinian Authority no longer rewards security prisoners, with a welfare program reformed to be needs-based rather than based on time served, contradicting a previous US report Times of Israel.
UN Report Bias
A new UN report on Israel was condemned by NGO UN Watch for equating settlers and Palestinian terrorists, with only 9% addressing Palestinian attacks against Israelis Jerusalem Post.
Antisemitism & Threats Abroad
Antisemitism
NOSIG
Antisemitism & Threats Abroad
Antisemitism
No significant developments in the coverage window.
Israel in Africa
World – Africa
NOSIG
Israel in Africa
World – Africa
No significant developments in the coverage window.
Israel in Europe
World – Europe
NOSIG
Israel in Europe
World – Europe
No significant developments in the coverage window.
Israel in the Americas
World – Americas
Israel in the Americas
World – Americas
Air Canada Extends Flight Cancellations
Air Canada extended its cancellation of flights to Israel until October 24 Israel Hayom.
Israel in Asia-Pacific
World – Asia-Pacific
NOSIG
Israel in Asia-Pacific
World – Asia-Pacific
No significant developments in the coverage window.
Israel in MENA (Non-Belligerent)
World – MENA (Other)
Israel in MENA (Non-Belligerent)
World – MENA (Other)
Kuwait and Bahrain Airspace
Kuwait closed its airspace and activated air defense systems following Iranian missile strikes. Sirens sounded in Bahrain, and an advisor to the King of Bahrain confirmed the interception of several "aerial targets" launched from Iran N12 ChatNews 0404 ILBehold Israel.
Saudi Resumption of Lebanese Imports
Saudi Arabia resumed imports of goods from Lebanon after a five-year halt, citing support for the new Lebanese government's sovereignty measures N12 Chat.
Analysis
Trend
The US-Iran kinetic tempo has accelerated sharply from a mutual halt on June 8 to consecutive nightly US strikes and Iranian retaliation across the Gulf. The protagonist set has shifted: the US is now the primary driver of escalation, with Iran responding symmetrically, while Israel's direct role has receded. Prior windows showed Israel as the central actor in Iran strikes; now, the US is conducting unilateral operations, and Iran's retaliation is targeting US assets, not Israeli. This marks a dangerous new phase where the conflict is no longer a proxy war but a direct US-Iran exchange, with the Strait of Hormuz closure adding a global economic dimension absent in earlier windows.
Narrative
The US is pushing a narrative of 'negotiation through bombardment,' with Hegseth and Trump framing strikes as leverage for a deal, while Iran counters with a victimhood-plus-resistance frame, claiming defensive retaliation and Hormuz closure as sovereign rights. The Iranian narrative is winning in regional Arabic media, which amplifies the Strait closure and US base strikes, but Western outlets focus on Trump's threats and the IAEA resolution. A key gap: there is no independent confirmation of the extent of damage on either side, with both US and Iranian claims relying on self-reported success. The information environment is polarized, with each camp's framing largely ignored by the other's media sphere.
Synthesis
The Strait of Hormuz closure is likely a temporary coercive signal, not a sustained blockade, because Iran cannot afford a prolonged disruption to its own oil exports and Chinese pressure will mount. The timing—announced immediately after US strikes—suggests it is a performative escalation to demonstrate capability and force international mediation. A counter-reading is that Iran is willing to endure economic pain to deter further US strikes, but this ignores Iran's reliance on Hormuz for its own revenue and the risk of alienating China, its primary oil customer. The closure is best understood as a high-stakes bluff that will be walked back within 48 hours if US strikes pause.
OSINT Indicators — Watch
- 1.Check Sentinel-1 SAR imagery of the Strait of Hormuz (pass 2026-06-11T02:30Z, descending orbit) for vessel clustering or AIS gaps indicating a de facto blockade.
- 2.Monitor FlightRadar24 for any military or commercial aircraft movements near Ali Al Salem Air Base, Kuwait (ICAO: OKAS), in the 12 hours following the reported IRGC strikes.
- 3.Track the Telegram channel 'War Monitors' (t.me/warmonitors) for geolocated footage of damage at Sheikh Isa Air Base, Bahrain, to verify IRGC claims of destruction.
Predictions — +24h
Status Quo
- 1.Within 24 hours, the US will conduct a third night of strikes on Iranian military targets.0.75
- 2.The Iran-Israel ceasefire will hold through June 13, with no direct Iran-Israel kinetic exchange.0.85
- 3.Iran will partially reopen the Strait of Hormuz to non-oil commercial traffic within 48 hours.0.60
Escalation
- 1.Within 48 hours, an Iranian missile will strike a US Navy vessel in the Persian Gulf, causing casualties.0.30
- 2.Hezbollah will launch a large-scale rocket barrage at Haifa in the next 72 hours, exploiting US-Iran tensions.0.25
- 3.Saudi Arabia will publicly call for an emergency OPEC+ meeting to address Hormuz closure, fracturing the US-Gulf alliance.0.40