Sinwar Memo

The US launched a fresh wave of strikes on Iranian military targets near the Strait of Hormuz, as Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, with tanker traffic at 28% of pre-war levels and oil prices spiking over 4%. Israel-Lebanon talks continue in Rome, and a newly uncovered memo reveals Sinwar anticipated a possible Israeli nuclear response to the October 7 attack.