NATO

The US-Iran memorandum of understanding entered its 60-day implementation window, with the IAEA offering technical assistance and Hormuz traffic yet to resume. Israel and Iran hardened positions on Lebanon withdrawal, risking the deal, while Foreign Minister Sa'ar severed contact with EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas over an alleged apartheid comparison. Three Hezbollah operatives were treated at an Israeli hospital, and the IDF published an updated map of its security zone in southern Lebanon.

Israel and Lebanon agreed to renew their ceasefire and create pilot zones free of Hezbollah control, while President Trump suggested an Iran deal could be reached by the weekend despite Tehran denying progress. The US House passed a symbolic war powers resolution to limit Trump’s authority on Iran, and Kuwait released CCTV footage of the deadly Iranian drone strike on its airport.

Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed IDF troops of the 36th Division crossed the Litani River and advanced to strategic points in southern Lebanon, while the IDF struck Hezbollah targets across the south and in the Bekaa Valley. The US and Iran reached a tentative 60-day ceasefire memorandum of understanding, pending President Trump's approval, though both sides publicly disputed its contents. In Gaza, Netanyahu ordered the IDF to expand control to 70% of the Strip, violating the October ceasefire, and the IDF eliminated the deputy commander of Hamas's Gaza City Brigade. The UN added Israel to its sexual-violence-in-conflict blacklist, drawing sharp Israeli condemnation.

Hezbollah drone attacks wounded 10 Israeli soldiers in southern Lebanon, including a brigade commander and a combat photographer, as the Knesset overwhelmingly advanced a bill to dissolve parliament. Iran confirmed it is reviewing a US proposal delivered via Pakistan, while President Trump said talks are in 'final stages' and warned of renewed strikes if no deal is reached. The US lifted sanctions on UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese, and settler violence flared in the West Bank.

An IDF reservist was killed and a brigade commander wounded in separate Hezbollah attacks in southern Lebanon. The US Senate advanced a war powers resolution to limit President Trump’s authority to strike Iran, while Vice President Vance warned the US is 'locked and loaded' if talks fail. Israel is reportedly preparing for a possible renewal of the Iran war, and Trump said Tehran has days to make a deal. Chinese President Xi told Russia’s Putin that Middle East hostilities are 'inadvisable.'

Iran launched cruise missiles and drones at the United Arab Emirates on Monday, striking a petroleum facility in Fujairah and triggering air defense alerts in Dubai, in a major ceasefire violation. The US said two American-flagged merchant vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz under Navy escort as part of 'Project Freedom,' while Iran claimed it fired warning shots at US destroyers and hit a warship with missiles, a claim CENTCOM denied. Israel elevated its military alertness to the maximum level and convened its expanded security cabinet for Wednesday.

Hezbollah launched multiple rocket and drone attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon on May 2, with no IDF casualties reported, while the IDF struck over 70 military structures and 50 Hezbollah infrastructure sites in the past day. The US announced the withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany amid a diplomatic rift over the Iran war, and Spain demanded the release of a citizen detained during an Israeli raid on a Gaza-bound aid flotilla. A senior Iranian official warned that conflict with the US is 'likely' to restart after President Trump rejected Tehran's latest proposal.

Hezbollah shot down an IDF Hermes 450 drone over Tyre with a surface-to-air missile — the first confirmed loss of this type since the ceasefire — while launching loitering glider attacks on Israeli troops in Al-Qantara and triggering Israeli strikes on Bint Jbeil. The US Navy was authorized to target Iranian fast boats in the Strait of Hormuz, and a Pentagon email floated punishing NATO allies for not supporting the Iran campaign.

Since the prior SITREP, a second French UNIFIL soldier (Cpl. Anicet Girardin) has died of wounds sustained in last week's Hezbollah attack on UN peacekeepers, raising the diplomatic stakes with France and NATO. Simultaneously, the IDF confirmed striking Hezbollah vehicles that crossed the Forward Defense Line near Tayri, killing two fighters, while Al-Manar reported a Hezbollah missile fired at IDF forces in Maroun Al-Ras — unconfirmed by independent sources.

Since the prior SITREP, a second French UNIFIL peacekeeper has died from wounds sustained in a weekend Hezbollah ambush, confirmed by President Macron — the most significant new development on the Lebanon front. Separately, the IRGC's Strait of Hormuz blockade is now confirmed kinetic, with Iran International SITREP reporting fire on three vessels and seizure of two foreign ships, while Trump has narrowed the US-Iran ceasefire extension to 3–5 days and signalled a second round of talks could occur within 36–72 hours.

Since the prior SITREP, the IRGC has conducted the most significant kinetic maritime escalation of the current cycle: seizing two vessels and firing on at least one additional ship in the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran explicitly framing the action as retaliation for the US capture of the Touska. Simultaneously, Hezbollah launched a drone at IDF troops in southern Lebanon — intercepted by Israeli air defenses — marking a fresh ceasefire violation.